Compare & Contrast
By Kevin
Two recent articles shows how openness balanced with secrecy is helpful for businesses navigating the real world. Management of information/secrets would be an important area for business success in the future. IKEA's Success tell discusses the features of IKEA's corporate style and secrecy while the Leaky Corporation discusses the difficulty of keeping important information internal within organizations today.
Changing Physical Laws
By Kevin

Gravity don't suck there?
There exists a fascinating and mysterious number in science known as the Fine Structure Constant whose identity as a 'constant' is put into question by a recent finding in the cosmos.
The fact that this unit-independent constant links up several important constants of physical laws and therefore represents most of the physical laws in the universe as we know implies that if it varies, the physical laws across the universe is not consistent (putting their identity as 'laws' into question as well). Ever in search of mathematical elegance, the idea of such a constant is really beautiful but the implications of this new finding isn't exactly known. As far as we know, a slight deviation of the Constant from what it is as measured could mean that life as we know would not exists. Nevertheless, the deviation discovered is way less significant.
Don't expect to be able to float in an atmosphere bubble or bend light with your bare hands yet.
The Ricardian
By Kevin
Nope, he's a businessman
Students doing A Levels Economics should totally take a look at The Ricardian, a magazine written by students doing Economics at A Levels at the Tiffin School. It's an electronic journal on Yudu so just access it here.
The quality of writing is pretty high and it's good for students who are still unable to adapt to the tougher style of The Economist. The design of The Ricardian is obviously inspired by The Economist with short elegant titles on the front page and a simple column design for its contents page. The individual page headers and the location of the page numbers closely resembles that of The Economist.
It a wonder why Singapore JCs often have the 'GP Bulletins' from top JCs (though nowadays they no longer bother to publish them nicely in a booklet form and decide to mass photocopy poorly formatted Word Documents instead) but not some sort of 'Economics Bulletin' that offers Economics tidbits with model essays as well as analysis of questions, issues or topics. Perhaps, the A Levels economists thinks this would be better left to the free market. That's why Mind Lever Education came up with 'Insights' for JC students, an even more awesome JC Economics magazine centered on A Levels Economics. For those who are willing to barter money for good knowledge materials, this magazine is available at some of the Popular Bookstore Branches.
Logic of Life
By Kevin

Perfecting Rationality's Definition
I wrote a review of Tim Harford's Logic of Life a long time back. It didn't make it to the publication I intended it for and so I publishing it here:
Thanks to a huge mishmash of research done by a new breed of economists who try to take on the challenges to rational choice theory, Tim Harford the Undercover Economist is persuaded that humans are smart rational creatures working within a world of imperfect information and impossibly tough circumstances. And obviously, he has decided to write a book to convince you of that too. Harford's Logic of Life takes on the Freakonomics track - citing loads of research supporting quirky or counter-intuitive explanations for common phenomena, which is perhaps very rational given that Levitt's Freakonomics sold more than 3 million copies worldwide while The Undercover Economist have no such statistics to brag about.
Unlike Freakonomics however, Logic of Life draws upon a larger collection research and is not detailed with the description of underlying research. Harford groups the different studies with ancedotes on some of the researchers to weave incredible but true stories about how people choose their lifelong partners, why people choose to live in crowded and expensive cities when the rise in their wages doesn't justify their expense and many more. Harford sees himself as a detective, peeling away layers of complexity from issues like crime and racism and attempting to investigate the causes of the emergent patterns. This is perhaps why the chapters were further segmented with sub-headings that gives the location and date related to events or research that follows, much like the old detective movies where the establishing shot is augmented by these information.
He starts out with the most provocative topic of 'sex' and go on around what he call the 'edge of reason', actions or habits which conventional wisdom will probably declare as largely irrational behaviours. In his chapter titled 'Las Vegas', Harford connected stories of Chris Ferguson, Von Neumann and Thomas Schelling with their research on Game Theory, rationality of gamblers and other sort of addicts. He explains the birth of Game Theory and the hopes of its applications in a myriad of different fields. A similar pattern emerges in every chapter, with Harford using his journalist style of conveying economics research findings to laymen, occasionally planting his opinions and thoughts, all the while steering readers back to the main message of his book, "humans are by and large rational and takes rational actions".
Another dominant theme in his book is that irrational or extreme situations can result from purely rational behaviours on the part of individual agents involved in decision making. It is much like prisoner's dilemma being played out by an entire community of people. Prisoner's dilemma is a situation where 2 individuals rationally chooses the collectively worst outcome simply because the alternative, better collective outcome appeared impossible. Harford points out this is probably how racism is perpetuated and reinforced by rationality of both the racist and the victim race, citing an experiment at University of Virginia where 'racism' was initiated by patterns that started merely by random chances. He offers his view that the solution out of this vicious cycle would somehow involve a change in the incentives of the parties involved and would take a long time.
Having started out his book with rational decisions that affects individuals and gradually moving on to those small individual rational decisions that impact on the community or even a race, Harford paces towards the finish of his book with how countries' politics and even the history of mankind is influenced by the combination of rational decisions so far made by all the tiny little economic agents each just trying to do their own things and to get by. He ends with the wildly speculative but not wholly unsubstantiated idea that the explosion of innovation and economic growth within the last century or so is merely a result of people responding to incentives.
Logic of Life offers a huge load of interesting, nice-to-know but otherwise pretty useless (at least to you and me) facts and speculation about the world that economists have discovered or concocted; very unlike The Undercover Economist which breath life into textbook economics. And this brings us to the question of why we should even bother to read this book. Rationally speaking, Logic of Life helps us gain a deeper appreciation of the study of economics as a means of understanding the world and ourselves - it demonstrates how the subject can be used to answer questions posed by the psychologist, anthropologist, sociologist, political scientist and a whole lot of specialist in other fields.
The Partnership
By Kevin

Rags-to-Riches
After reading Lord of Finance, I wanted learn more about finance industry of the west in its early days and discovered that I could perhaps learn about the history of the industry from the story of a single firm. Charles Ellis' 'The Partnership' turned out to be a great book for that; it charts the course of Goldman Sachs rise to one of the most well respected investment banks in the world finance community.
At the end of the book, I guess I gained way more than just knowledge about the history of finance industry. The Partnership was a great read, for the rich collection of little anecdotes about the people in the top strata of the great firm as well as the description of how the firm navigated the circumstances of those times. The story of the firm's rise in itself was immensely inspiring; no doubt it was great people who helped to build up the firm. These people helped me learn much about the importance of hard work and persistence, as well as the need to prepare for and learn from adversity. The main character in The Partnership that demonstrates the 'rags-to-riches' idea was Sidney Weinberg, touted as a 'saviour' of Goldman Sachs. Malcolm Gladwell explored the idea of how early adversity can aid one in life in an article on New Yorker, referring to Sidney Weinberg of Goldman Sachs based on the stories mentioned in Charles Ellis' book.
In Malcolm's article, he speculated that the sort of 'dual identity' that underprivileged outsiders can assume might help them succeed. People are more forgiving to the mistakes they might make while they bring in more unusual skills/knowledge that would prove valuable to the privileged circle. This often provide them with great connections that extend over a wide spectrum of 'classes'. This seem to be the advantage that Goldman Sachs rode on in the early days, through its founders as well as Sidney Weinberg. Goldman Sachs, being a little Jewish firm when it started out was the natural destination for the Jewish businesses for commercial paper; then when it started branching into the businesses of the big banks it was overlooked in some sense. The willingness of Goldman Sachs to do business with a wide variety of clients while trying to build up its grand reputation was admirable.
Goldman Sachs' ability to innovate and great foresight thanks to its leaders was important but perhaps not as much as the entire firm's willingness to work hard and push towards their goal. The kind of determination and persistence in trying to get business for the firm exhibited by their bankers and salespeople was absolutely amazing and Charles Ellis managed to convey all that extremely well through his wonderful narration of stories and events after events. The book might be really thick and it holds plenty of what one might consider 'long grandfather stories' but most were inspiring and groups of chapters on the firm under different leaders could be read on their own. The Partnership is definitely a great book for those interested in finance, personal motivation, business and storytelling.
Things We Forget
By Kevin

My Favourite
I'm not sure how many people have chanced upon Post-It Notes with inspirational illustrations anywhere in Singapore and picked them up; the author/illustrator/documenter of Things We Forget is certainly doing something amazing for his/her own life and that of the others. The Post-It illustrations and notes are indeed inspirational if not a reminder of how much wisdom we lose in the course of conducting our lives. The address of the blog is apt in that sense.
It is amazing how the project have been sustained for more than a year, and done by just a single person.
And since I'm at introducing and recommending other websites, there's an interesting free online textbook project at BookBooN. It's not exactly free so to speak, since the textbook is interspersed advertising much like a magazine is. But well, you don't pay a cent to download.
Lord of Finance
By Kevin

Walking towards Depression
After leaving it on my bookshelf for a while I eventually took out Lord of Finance to resume reading books on my journeys. Written by Liaquat Ahamed, I bought it at one of Harris' 20% storewide sales during a period when I was thinking about reading up more about Finance after the recent crisis. I thought it was good to beef up my knowledge of American finance since Age of Turbulence was the closest I got to reading about the financial sector of America.
The book turns out to be more than what I was expecting. Written in the style that feels very similar to Doris Kearns Goodwin's Team of Rivals, Lord of Finance traces the little stories that demonstrated the personalities of the four most important central bankers prior to 1929. They had exerted huge influence on the economies of Europe and United States, and unintentionally engineered in the Great Depression with their policies and beliefs. It was interesting to get a peek at a world still obsessed with the almost divine quality of gold as a storekeeper of value and with poor understanding of monetary economics.
Even more intriguing is that monetary policies and innovations are being created by these people who has a nuanced view of monetary economics and poor understanding of the workings of the economy. The stories and opinions of civil servants, politicians and aristocrats in those years demonstrates the experimentation humans had gone through in order to figure out how this gigantic machinery works. Of course, this study and experimentation carries on today.
Liaquat Ahamed got really good reviews (here and here) from New York Times for this book, especially for the fact that the contents of the book chillingly echos the stories of Wall Street in the past couple of years, involving banking heros and monetary policies, speculative bubbles and a huge crash. The description of the mania and the built up to the eventual crash sounds rather familiar to me given that I just finished John Cassidy's Dot.con a while back. Men's penchant for not learning from History seems particularly pronounced in bouts of 'Irrational Exuberance'.
For that, Liquat gives a brilliant analogy for the role of Central Bankers or the policies makers trying to stabilize the economy and also pushing for growth. He sees them much like Sisyphus in the Myth of Sisyphus, condemned the work hard to create the conditions fertile for economic growth only to have speculation and irrational exuberance extinguish the fruits of their labour - much like Sisyphus who have to push a boulder up a mountain knowing that when the deed is done, it'll roll back to its original position for him to do it again. Perhaps Albert Camus is right, for the struggle probably do fill the central bankers' hearts and the belief of their heroism keeps them happy.
Lord of Finance simply surprises me with the rich collection of anecdotes about the main characters of the story Liquat tries to tell and the manner it imparts knowledge on finance and the workings of money in the economy to the readers - subtly and not too overwhelmingly technical. As a result the book caters to a wide range of audience; students interested in economics, history, finance and perhaps just stories about great men's mistakes.
Those interested in getting a preview before making a purchase of the book or going on a trip to the library to borrow it might like to check out New York Times.
Dot.con
By Kevin

Popped!
I've recently finished John Cassidy's Dot.con I got from library many days back. John Cassidy is a staff writer at The New Yorker and I always liked his writings about Economics. I'll probably find a chance to lay my hands on his latest book, How Markets Fail: The Logic of Economic Calamities soon.
Meanwhile, Dot.con have been an interesting read. It's an old book, no doubt. I believe reading about the Internet Bubble now seem rather weird given that it has happened a while back and don't appear to have any immediate relation with what I've been working on. Still, I think that events like this have lessons to offer that are often missed out and I was looking to read something a little further back given that I've been updating myself with The Economist all the time. John Cassidy didn't fail me, starting his story from the time when the technology was developing for the rise of modern Internet, describing the roles that the US military and government played in its conception, research funding and even implementation. He combines the events leading up to year 2000 with interesting comparisons of speculative manias of the past and talks about retrospective telltale signs of irrationality.
He introduced me to Charles Mackay and his writing, Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds. I subsequently realised I had the sections of Charles Mackay's book in my 4-inch tome, The Real Price of Everything by Michael Lewis. Those pieces have just been added into my reading queue.
Cory Johnson reveals that John Cassidy was a rare skeptical voice with regards to the Internet Boom, but failed to live up to the promise of the title of the book:
Indeed, he is unable to dismiss the most fundamental notion (a mantra among the true believers) that the Internet changes everything. Despite the stock market meltdown, almost any reading of the evolving business practice wrought by the Internet suggests that more dramatic changes are yet to come.
In a sense, the Internet is not quite exactly an illusion so to speak. But I don't think that was what John Cassidy was driving at. His idea is that business fundamentals have been abandoned during the period and it shouldn't have been. The numbers he cites about businesses losing money even as stock prices climb is startling. He might have been against the arguments of the New Economy though, and he could have supported his argument with the fact that falling prices (with economic expansion) isn't entirely an internal affair of US but a result of the external forces as well.
I've enjoyed the little stories told by Dot.con surrounding the whole boom and crash of the Internet, especially those about individuals trapped in those industries contributing and taking part of the boom. Besides that, Dot.con serves as a good look at human behaviours during a speculative mania.
Carrots & Sticks
By Kevin

Singular Representation...
The Economist recently featured an article on the need to package carrots as sticks to help people be more motivated. It is essentially saying that people responds more strongly to loss than gain but since companies need to make credible threats (a very game theory sort of idea) without being deemed unfair (as they would if they had threatened to dock pay) they will have to make their carrots seem like sticks.
But then, is it always about money? A couple of days back I was walking around the bookstore and I spotted a new book - Daniel Pink's Drive: The Surprising Truth About What Motivates Us, he talks about the stuff that motivates us. We often thought of them as money but he figures out that it's about "autonomy, mastery, and purpose", which makes a lot of intuitive sense. The incentive systems in our world often do not drive ordinary souls to excellence. Perhaps, firms and organization must rethink their way they manage their people and this will revolutionize human resource departments and HR work.
The ideas in the book relates closely to another book I saw. It's Richard Sennett's documentation of the philosophy of craftsmanship, The Craftsman (reviews here and here). His definition of craftsmanship, “an enduring, basic human impulse, the desire to do a job well for its own sake” sounds like a logical consequence when an individual is well-motivated. Perhaps then, craftsmanship is the spirit to be promoted.
Once again, it's time to stock up books...

